Lesson 04

One path can support several stories.

Lines and zones are choices applied to historical data. Different samples and anchors can produce competing interpretations. None can guarantee the next observation.

One hypothetical chart path overlaid with several conflicting trend and range guides
Hypothetical sketch with competing interpretations. No signal or forecast.

Four checks before any conclusion

  1. What data is missing?

    A chart omits fundamentals, costs, liquidity, personal circumstances and information outside the selected sample.

  2. Was the pattern named after the outcome?

    Hindsight can make a line look obvious only after later observations are visible.

  3. Could another timeframe reverse the label?

    A short rising segment can sit inside a long decline, and a local range can sit inside a larger trend.

  4. What would disconfirm the reading?

    A useful description should name its anchors and admit when later data no longer fit.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Historical charts, projections and backtests can be presented selectively. Investments involve uncertainty and potential financial loss. Chart literacy does not remove that risk.

Course recap

Observe

Name the interval and chart type.

Describe

Mark highs, lows, ranges and approximate zones.

Limit

State the sample, uncertainty and alternative reading.